U.S. Nuclear weapon capabilities.
-Stuck with aging ICBMs which we hope some will work.
The LGM-35A Sentinel has run into severe cost overruns and schedule delays that could force the Air Force to keep Minuteman IIIs operational years longer.
www.defensenews.com
-Only offered life extensions to Trident missiles. I think we might be in deep shit if the UK's failed Trident test launch last year was a life extension Trident since I heard they were a part of the program to replace their aging missiles.
-Still waiting on the production update on the dark eagle, Opfires and AGM-183A. Whatever happens after that war depends how pissed the euros might be at the US not getting involved enough in that war and how well they will do economically in terms of what costs they are willing to pay for energy in the following years to come.
-https://www.foxnews.com/politics/controversial-defense-program-tied-dei-laden-contractor-crosshairs-doge-poster-child I am also hearing defense contractors even those for nuclear missile projects implement DEI which basically means hiring is done for requirements and not specifically for the best brilliant minds to further advance our nuclear missile projects at a faster rate than a slower rate.
Russia Nuclear weapon capabilities
Long list despite being less then half the population of the U.S. and 1/10th the population of China they are pretty creative bunch of people.
1. Ballistic Missiles.
This is the most simplistic understanding of ballistic missiles; they fly to space and then re-enter the orbit with warheads. Most of the latest modern air defenses have claimed to have done successful interceptions. Now to be fair for the Russians and Ukrainians that got their air defenses destroyed in this war, the ATACMS and Iskander fly at lower trajectories then SRBMs giving air defense radars less time to track and intercept their target. Ukraine is still touching Russia from the north which is why they have jackass incursions like Belgorod and Kursk, also the 20% of Ukraine's territory under Russia still doesn't provide Russia's full air defense capabilities like the ATACMs can still fly lower at hypersonic speeds below its flight ceiling. If somehow Russia manages to get everything from the east of the Dniepr river ATACMs capabilities would decrease and Russia's air defense capabilities would increase. Also, Russia has aircrafts that can share radar data with their air defense units if an enemy aircraft is flying below the air defense radar's horizon. Reason drones are obviously successful is that they fly super low and Russia is still in the process of upgrading their SHORAD capabilities like pic related. I think it might take like 10-15 years for western countries to create and produce similar systems for Ukraine
2. Advanced Ballistic Missiles
Pic related is the Topol-M, these missiles got replaced with Yars missiles and the Yars missiles are getting replaced with the newer Cedar missiles. Pic related is simple it shows that the missile uses thrust vectoring capabilities to start maneuvering before it reaches the atmosphere. This is a significant difference from a BM that reaches its flight ceiling with no maneuvering to evade interceptor missiles and releases maneuvering warheads before re-entering orbit. Iskander and Kinzhal missiles claim to have thrust vectoring capabilities from their launch for maneuvering capabilities as well. These missiles also have stealth material making radar detection harder, decoys and EW systems. They created a giant train system with different tracks and tunnels for some BMs to make it difficult to predict when they would launch at high speeds.
The latest Oreshnik missile that made Putin state to pick a time and location in which it would still hit its targets. The missile has 36 homing warheads when released. Well known ballistic missiles or re-entry vehicles when re-entering the earth atmosphere tend to slow down like mach 3 to 5. Because of new material to withstand high temperature the warheads when re-entering the earth can exceed at speeds of mach 10. Many research papers have shown that hypervelocity (kinetic bombardment for example) makes a bigger boom on impact then slower speed targets especially if they have an explosive charge.
2. The warheads get released at the apogee of the flight ceiling offering no time for air defenses to target the missile before the 36 warheads get released. Most air defense systems have very low altitudes SAMs which some believe most ballistic missiles are still in that phase when re-entering the orbit and releasing the warheads way later. Like if there is an air defense that has a SAM for 150kms. The Agni-5 for same range as Hazel has like a 600km altitude, so it is assumed that's when the warheads of hazel get released. SM-3 has a 1,200km range while the Hazel is described to exceed 5000kms but the speed of the Hazel to get to its Apogee 1st and then releasing the warheads to fly to their targets is when the SM-3 is useless. And also, the SM-3 missiles are not designed for complex maneuvers at dense layers where the maneuverable warheads are released. Of course, besides high temperature material breakthrough the high altitude drop off is what accelerates the warheads at high speeds to their targets.
3. Hypersonic Glide Vehicles
More advanced than BMs since they don't leave the atmosphere giving radars less tracking time and they maneuver for the rest of their flight. Some have unpowered and powered capabilities (using fuel). Avangard is the only HGV in the world with an ICBM range while not leaving the atmosphere. U.S. had something similar to the Avangard called the HTV-2 but the Vehicle was deemed a failure because it broke apart at 30% of its intended full range to its target getting released from a Minotaur 4 Lite rocket. The U.S. however continues HGV projects but none that are ICBM range AFAIK.
4. Scramjets
Everyone can take a lucky guess here which country made the 1st scramjet and successful test flight, and it was Russia with their Kholod project. They had a lack of funding when the Soviet Union collapsed so they had to share their data with the US in which the US funded their project on their behalf. These missiles are more advanced than HGVs in which HGVs are already more advanced than BMs. Ramjet and Scramjets (both will always be 2nd stage engines) are air breathing missiles that require a 1st stage engine to provide them the necessary acceleration for subsonic(ramjet) or supersonic(scramjet) air to enter and mix with the fuel injection before exiting the exhaust. This offers excellent fuel efficiency which is one of the reasons why they fly at lower altitudes at high speeds where air density offers the most resistance. What makes them more advanced then HGVs is 1. They maintain high velocity until their engine gives out in the end or hits its target. 2. Zircon flies at a 40km altitude which gives radars less, less time to track and intercept. 3. the atmosphere calculator and speed show a high temperature plasma will occur and based on the calculations the plasma can even deteriorate fire control radar frequencies or any frequencies below it (L-band, S-band and X-band are used for tracking targets, VHF and UHF radars are for detecting targets). The Meteorit missile project was a ramjet project that used a plasma generator to generate a plasma screen for stealth. Most hypersonic vehicles can be infrared tracked but scramjets deteriorate radar tracking capabilities significantly and radars are the most common used sensors. Also, some Russian physicists have discovered how they can communicate with Zircon back in 2011
https://www.technologyreview.com/20...black-out-problem-for-re-entering-spacecraft/
5.Long Range Nuclear Torpedo. Nuclear Reactor Cruise Missile, EMP Missile Alabuga(no one has success with this)
There is no underwater defense system that exists that can intercept a nuclear torpedo from destroying a coast. The Burevestnik is a missile with an unlimited range or how long the nuclear reactor can run on the missile. Flies at cruise missile speeds and at low altitudes using the advantage of radar horizon to avoid radars. Burestnik is claimed to make A.I decisions like avoiding paths from enemy radars such as using passive sensors if it is getting tracked to take another direction. Think this missile's use is to fly from Canada (assuming they don't have good air defense systems) to the U.S. CHAMP missiles basically emit an EMP which fries electronics during flight basically if an interceptor missile came it would release an EMP based on its radius frying their tracking electronics and continue its flight. Source for Alabuga missile is I think it's just a onetime missile use that fries all electronics at an intended target, google sucks.
https://zvezdaweekly.ru/news/20185141034-P7Fgd.html?ysclid=mf4tajhbmk460887981
https://rg.ru/2023/10/30/rossijskij...otencial-nato.html?ysclid=mf4td9znb8659685703
6. Classified Missiles or means of nuclear delivery
Based on the projects disclosed publicly, Putin said there are projects that he can't disclose publicly. This could be a wide range of ideas from missiles using detonation engines, missiles that can operate at higher speeds then ICBMs, aerospike engines or something from orbit hitting a country. Technology keeps progressing like copper additives increasing thrust by 5 times, new material that can withstand temperatures higher then 4000 Celsius in velocity, physicists and engineers discovering something new, etc.
those 3 politicians in different time periods talking about this weapon they cant disclose which would shock the world.
https://www1.ru/news/2025/09/10/ore...azrabotku-novogo-bolee-moshhnogo-oruziia.html
"Hazel" and its shadow: Russia hinted at the development of a new more powerful weapon
Andrei Kolesnik, a member of the State Duma Defense Committee, made it clear that in the event of the appearance of an enemy on the battlefield, Russia will respond not only with political measures, but also with weapons that are superior in their destructive power to any known weapon.
"We can use weapons that the enemy has not seen yet. This is not the Hazel, it is much more unpleasant. There will be no one to bury after it."
Andrei Kolesnik, member of the State Duma Defense Committee
Kolesnik stressed that these weapons have not yet been used on the battlefield. But if Russia uses them, the consequences will be a shock to the whole world.
Earlier, the Oreshnik complex has already become a symbol of the power of the domestic military-industrial complex, and reports of its possible modernization were actively discussed in specialized circles. However, Kolesnik's current hint indicates that we may be talking about a fundamentally new class of weapons, which even the expert community does not yet know about.
Some analysts associate such statements with information about the latest tests of hypersonic technologies and electronic suppression systems. Others believe that we are talking about the so-called "asymmetric response" of Russia - that is, about such strikes from which the enemy's infrastructure will simply cease to function.
https://topcor.ru/30040-rossija-uve...kih-principah.html?ysclid=mffoei3myc724185673
Russia is forced to increase the production of the most powerful weapons. This was stated by Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev. At the same time, the official stressed that we are primarily talking about weapons based on new principles.
https://tass.ru/politika/18722523?ysclid=mffpyh6td18587550
Weapons based on new physical principles will ensure the security of countries in the near future, and the Russian authorities understand this. This was stated by Russian President Vladimir Putin at a meeting with the moderators of the EEF sessions.
"If you look at the sphere of security, then weapons based on new physical principles will ensure the security of any country in the near historical future. We understand this perfectly well and are working on it," Putin said.
Weapons based on new physical principles involve the use of qualitatively new or previously unused technologies and principles of operation. Such types of weapons usually include, in particular, laser, infrasound, radio frequency and others.
Air Defense Capabilities
3 important things before we discuss capabilities
1. Main Radar, Passive tracking and Infrared tracking.
2. Interceptor missile's radar, passive tracking/infrared tracking towards target.
3. G-loads of the interceptor missiles. example
https://topwar.ru/164483-neozvuchen...ni-favorit-rm.html?ysclid=mf4u3lhaxd438933395
As for the maneuverability of the Favorit-RM, the high angular turning speed and the range of available G-forces (25-30 units in the troposphere and lower layers of the stratosphere and 8-12 units in the upper layers of the stratosphere), characteristic of the standard 5V55R missiles, allow these target missiles to successfully overcome the most powerful anti-missile "umbrellas" formed by most modifications of the Buk, S-300 anti-aircraft missile systems (including the PM1 and VM Antey-2500 and V4) and even the S-400 "Triumph". After all, it is well known that in order to intercept an air object maneuvering with an overload of 25-30G, an interceptor missile must have an available overload of about 55-60 units, while missiles of the 9M38M1, 9M317, 48N6DM and 9M82MV types are capable of maneuvering with overloads of 25-35 units missiles-simulators of the flight mission, providing for maneuvering with overloads of no more than 12-15 units (with the implementation of 50% potential), which, obviously, happened during the last tests of the standard modification of the S-400, equipped with 48N6DM missiles. The unique flight and technical qualities of the 9M317MA and 9M96DM missiles (performing maneuvers with overloads of 60-70G), due to the presence of a gas-jet thrust vector deflection system at the first and gas-dynamic "belts" of the transverse control engines at the second, will open up unprecedented horizons in the field of countering promising American operational-tactical ballistic missiles "Deep Strike" and AGM-183A aeroballistic missiles. The imitation of these elements of high-precision
weapons, generated by the arms race that broke out against the backdrop of the Pentagon's denunciation of the INF Treaty, is the primary vocation of the Favorit-RM hypersonic target missiles.
Click to expand...
US and Russia.
1. Both have intercepted BMs, I have no idea if these were simple BMs or advanced BMs that they intercepted.
2. Both make claims that their new air defense systems will intercept HGVs.
3. U.S. has an advantage in MMIC technology for radars, however depending on the results of this war Russia might control 70% of the worlds market on neon (material used for semiconductor technology). Also, they are producing PIC(photonic integrated circuits) which I heard are more superior then MMICs and operate in the millimeter wave band. The Yakhroma radar is an interesting project which makes me wonder if it will use PICs to work as a photonic radar since it's a ground radar, works in millimeter and a very wide band which is something unheard of.
https://rg.ru/2021/01/05/reg-ufo/bo...eh-diapazonah.html?ysclid=mf4uxm8284714243023
The Yakhroma long-range radar in Crimea will have a viewing angle of 270 degrees and will operate in four bands. "This radar has no analogues, it will work in four bands at once: meter, decimeter, centimeter and millimeter," a source in the military-industrial complex told
TASS. The construction of the radar station will begin in 2021.
2030 is the completion of this radar's date.
Вдоль границ России в рамках системы предупреждения о ракетном нападении (СПРН) создано сплошное радиолокационное поле, позволяющее следить за баллистическими... РИА Новости, 26.08.2021
ria.ru
A.I. to calculate probability of survival in making choices.
1. Depending on the Poseidon's stealth can the US SONAR system pick up these torpedoes to verify they are incoming nukes? Have the Russians successfully probed our coasts before without our knowledge? Lets say all the nuclear torpedoes hit all our coasts at the same time did we have any nuclear missiles that were near the coasts when the detonation occurred? Can our satellites pick up low flying high speed scramjets from space? How much will it effect the radar horizon by the time our radars pick it up? Are there any mountains along the way that cause some obstruction from detecting the target based on their own satellite intel.
2. Lets there was some reaction time and chance to press the nuclear button for some area in the U.S. What are the tracking capabilities of S-400, S-350, S-500, S-550 and the new A-235 system with new Voronezh ground radar stations with interception success rates and how many targets can be intercepted at the same time? Have the high precision millimeter wave radars with PICs enhanced their air defense capabilities for more interceptions? Do they know the failure rates of their adversaries missile launches and the technology of those missiles if they would cause any issues to their air defenses?
Based on the analysis they can calculate their survival rate, if its a 99% chance or higher it might give them confidence to launch strikes without the repercussions of M.A.D.
2nd reason we will be back to focusing on internal issues.
1. Lowering the mobilization age from 27 to 25, 18-25 year olds this month from Ukraine are taking basic training which makes it seem they will soon be at the end of the road for throwing bodies. Putin saying there are over 700k soldiers in the operation and 100k in their Belarus exercise a few days ago with US observers seems they are not running out of men anytime soon. Country with a lot of resources will have a sealed fate soon.
2. Venezuela has rich resources but a piss poor military maybe some deal with China would prevent a full US incursion.
3. Once the Ukraine shit is settled Russia might have full attention back to the south. Despite U.S. bases with logistics having to cross a huge body of water and Israel, Russia and Iran along with Turkey with the likely chance to flip like a switch despite NATO status might cause issues again.
4. Arctic might be another issue but Russia has a lot of icebreaker ships, maybe US space race with Russia and China in placing nuclear reactors on the moon.
once the 1st 3 points are settled there really isn't much to do that I can think of that would be a good investment in the long run.
